Showing posts with label round the world. Show all posts
Showing posts with label round the world. Show all posts

Wednesday, 24 January 2024

Measuring Dartsmanship

Recently I've taken to recording how many throws it takes me to complete a game of Round the World in darts. The game is quite simple: you must score a 1 before moving on to the 2, once the 2 is completed you can move on 3 and so on around the board before finishing on the red bullseye or the green ring around it. The minimum number of throws required for this feat is 21.

I decided to measure the efficiency of my score by dividing it into 21 and expressing this as a fraction. Thus: $$ \text{efficiency }=\frac{21}{\text{score}} \times 100$$Figure 1 shows a graph of the resultant efficiencies for scores ranging from 105 to 21.


Figure 1: permalink

Figure 2 shows a table of selected scores and their associated efficiencies (rounded to the nearest whole number).


Figure 2: permalink

As can be seen, it becomes increasingly difficult to achieve an efficiency close to 100%. For example, 22 scores 95% and 21 scores 91% but all other scores are under 90%. I'm recording these results in a newly created AirTable database. See Figure 3.


Figure 3

I'm keeping track of the number of throws using a counter on my iPhone. See Figure 4.


Figure 4

There is a defect of sorts in this way of measuring efficiency because it supposes that 21 steps required to finish are all equal. Indeed from 1 to 20 they are but the final bullseye and green ring have a combined area that is considerably smaller than the numbered sectors. One might complete steps 1 to 20 with 20 throws and then spend ten more throws before hitting the central area of the dartboard. The final score of 30 with result efficiency of 70% doesn't fully reward the extraordinary skill required to progress from 1 to 20 in only 20 throws.

The bull's-eye has an outerbull area (also know as the single bull, which scores 25) and an inner bull (also known as a double bull's-eye, which scores 50). The circular scoring area of the standard dartboard has a diameter of 34" and the bull's-eye has a diameter of 3". So this means that each numbered sector has an area of 45.04 square inches and the bull's-eye has an area of 7.069 square inches which is thus more than six times smaller. Hitting the bull's-eye in a single throw ought to be rewarded more than hitting one of the numbered sectors in a single throw.

Hitting the bull's-eye is equivalent to hitting six numbered sectors in succession. The numbers should range from 1 --> 20 and then from 21 --> 26 but 26 is difficult to work with. Let's go with 21 --> 25 so that the numbered sectors count for 80% and the bull's-eye 20%. If somebody hits the numbers 1 to 20 in twenty throws, they are assured of an 80% score. A formula then involves two statistics, \(x\) and \(y\) where the former represents the throws taken to traverse 1 to 20 and the latter represents the throws needed to hit the bull's-eye. The formula thus becomes:$$\text{efficiency }=\frac{20}{x} \times 80 + \frac{1}{y} \times 20$$This is a fairer estimate of efficiency that doesn't unduly penalise somebody for having difficulty hitting the bull's-eye. I've changed my AirTable database to reflect these changes.

ADDENDUM: March 6th 2024

There's a major problem with this final efficiency formula that I came up with and I only noticed it today. Recently, on February 26th, I achieved an efficiency of 62% after scoring 41 in the 1 to 20 section and 1 in the bull's-eye:$$ \text{efficiency } =\frac{20}{40} \times 80 + \frac{1}{1} \times 20  \approx 62.0 \%$$Today I needed 41 for the 1 to 20 section but needed two throws to get the bull's-eye. However, I was shocked to see that my efficiency was 10% less as the result of the calculation:$$ \text{efficiency } =\frac{20}{41} \times 80 + \frac{1}{2} \times 20  \approx 52.0 \%$$This is clearly not reasonable but the problem only emerged as the consistency of my dart throwing improved.

For the time being, I'll revert to my original formula:
$$ \text{efficiency }=\frac{21}{\text{score}} \times 100$$This then produces more reasonable results:$$ \text{efficiency }=\frac{21}{41} \times 100 \approx 51.2 \%$$$$ \text{efficiency }=\frac{21}{43} \times 100 \approx 48.8 \%$$This formula is far from perfect but it will have to do for the time being until I come up with something better.